Be careful what you hear, it may not have been what was said (or what was meant).
I just finished Malcolm Gladwell's wonderful podcast series "Revisionist History". There are many interesting threads through the various episodes, but the big meta-theme that loomed large for me was the danger of confirmation bias. I think it was the second episode (the one about Saigon) that really hit on the issue. It is worth the listen.
This problem is giant when you're building a business model. It is very hard to keep somebody in the room who honestly thinks your idea is stupid, but that person is essential. I'm not talking about some devil's advocate who will throw out half-baked objections before rolling over and giving you a false sense of accomplishment. I mean somebody who really thinks the idea won't work and is willing to try hard to articulate why.
What comes naturally is that you will find somebody else who is enthusiastic about your idea and will be supportive. Often this is somebody you already know, and probably you're on friendly terms. After all, that's why you brought the idea to her in the first place. She'll talk up how great your idea is and you'll recognize what a genius she is for liking your idea. The two of you will add more friends until you've built up a real, proper mutual admiration society around self-love as represented in lavish praise for one another's brilliance.
This is great when you're starting out! Everybody except the most ruthlessly anti-social people need external approval of some kind. The trick is knowing when it is time to stop bolstering your confidence and adding good news and start sorting out the potential problems, doing your pre-mortems with serious abandon and sorting out the real contingency plans.
I just finished Malcolm Gladwell's wonderful podcast series "Revisionist History". There are many interesting threads through the various episodes, but the big meta-theme that loomed large for me was the danger of confirmation bias. I think it was the second episode (the one about Saigon) that really hit on the issue. It is worth the listen.
This problem is giant when you're building a business model. It is very hard to keep somebody in the room who honestly thinks your idea is stupid, but that person is essential. I'm not talking about some devil's advocate who will throw out half-baked objections before rolling over and giving you a false sense of accomplishment. I mean somebody who really thinks the idea won't work and is willing to try hard to articulate why.
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"Oh, you're so smart and your new business idea can't fail!" |
What comes naturally is that you will find somebody else who is enthusiastic about your idea and will be supportive. Often this is somebody you already know, and probably you're on friendly terms. After all, that's why you brought the idea to her in the first place. She'll talk up how great your idea is and you'll recognize what a genius she is for liking your idea. The two of you will add more friends until you've built up a real, proper mutual admiration society around self-love as represented in lavish praise for one another's brilliance.
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"We're all so smart and funny and we're all going to be super-successful!!" |
At that point, it's essential to realize that sometimes the smartest people in the room are the ones who are willing to say "I don't get it" and your best friends are the ones who are willing to say "that's stupid."